Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001248 1.407941e-03 0.001570 0.001746 0.001930 0.002117 0.002321
2025-03-02 0.000939 1.160416e-03 0.001393 0.001654 0.001936 0.002230 0.002557
2025-03-09 0.000709 9.697499e-04 0.001255 0.001585 0.001951 0.002340 0.002782
2025-03-16 0.000544 8.302283e-04 0.001158 0.001548 0.001992 0.002472 0.003026
2025-03-23 0.000458 7.723223e-04 0.001145 0.001601 0.002129 0.002707 0.003381
2025-03-30 0.000362 6.906744e-04 0.001097 0.001607 0.002207 0.002875 0.003660
2025-04-06 0.000298 6.398672e-04 0.001080 0.001645 0.002320 0.003079 0.003978
2025-04-13 0.000259 6.187537e-04 0.001096 0.001720 0.002475 0.003330 0.004348
2025-04-20 0.000177 5.208089e-04 0.001006 0.001660 0.002465 0.003388 0.004498
2025-04-27 0.000110 4.285557e-04 0.000914 0.001590 0.002439 0.003424 0.004619
2025-05-04 0.000086 4.054804e-04 0.000915 0.001636 0.002552 0.003621 0.004924
2025-05-11 0.000045 3.355238e-04 0.000841 0.001582 0.002538 0.003667 0.005052
2025-05-18 0.000009 2.448109e-04 0.000738 0.001502 0.002514 0.003728 0.005233
2025-05-25 NaN 1.718728e-04 0.000650 0.001436 0.002506 0.003809 0.005439
2025-06-01 NaN 1.155306e-04 0.000576 0.001383 0.002513 0.003907 0.005667
2025-06-08 NaN 7.716088e-05 0.000523 0.001357 0.002552 0.004044 0.005942
2025-06-15 NaN 6.480451e-05 0.000524 0.001413 0.002700 0.004317 0.006379
2025-06-22 NaN 4.452763e-05 0.000497 0.001422 0.002784 0.004508 0.006719
2025-06-29 NaN 3.326549e-05 0.000490 0.001461 0.002907 0.004750 0.007119
2025-07-06 NaN 2.921498e-05 0.000504 0.001534 0.003079 0.005051 0.007592
2025-07-13 NaN 1.014723e-05 0.000443 0.001478 0.003068 0.005121 0.007784
2025-07-20 NaN 5.642383e-07 0.000381 0.001413 0.003041 0.005168 0.007945
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000381 0.001457 0.003169 0.005413 0.008347